Comments on Michelle Gratten “Rudd's
adrenaline charge will pressure Gillard”, 16/02/2013,
http://www.businessspectator.com.au/bs.nsf/Article/Kevin-Rudd-Julia-Gillard-Labor-MRRT-PM-pd20130215-4X6T6?OpenDocument&emcontent_spectators&src=rot
Clearly the Rudd factor is the most
explosive and unpredictable in the coming election, not just for the
ALP, but arguably also for the coalition, because if the ALP switches
to Rudd, then the coalition may also switch to another person as
opposed to continue with Abbott as the leader. The difference in
voter appeal between Rudd and Abbott would make it too hard for the
coalition to bear and for the fear of losing another unloseable
election.
I think what Rudd and indeed his
supporters should do is to devise a strategy of approaching the ALP
heavy weights and assure them that the goal is to win the next
election and to win as many seats for them as possible and there will
be no retribution but complete reconciliation and the reliance on
merits and talents.
Clearly, Shorten is a key figure among
heavy weights. However, some more neutral heavy weights could also
play a pivot role, given that the prospect of winning the next
election is getting more and more impossible day by day and the
interests of the whole party should be paramount in any
consideration.
Gillard has been given enough
opportunities and time to demonstrate her Prime Ministerial
leadership skills, but her performance over the past couple of years
has been mush less than satisfactory and boarded on the more
disappointing to say the least.
Swan is another uncertain factor in the
sense that should he realise that Gillard's fortune may certainly
improve should he stand down as early as possible and leave at the
next election. But Swan is unlikely to do that.
Should the Rudd supporters try to hand
out more olive branches to the neutral and those within the Gillard
strong supporters, the situation may change very quickly. It needs
some real change from Rudd and the sooner he realise that the better
his political fortune will become.
Rudd is smart enough to learn what is
needed and required and take the necessary steps.
Past lessons are rich enough.
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