New dawn in the east and the US

Comments on Geoffrey Garrett “US looks to new dawn in the east”, 18/11/2010, http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/opinion/us-looks-to-new-dawn-in-the-east/story-e6frg6zo-1225955152493
For the US new Asia Pacific strategy to succeed, it must be in its long term interest and the US needs to show a long term determination to pursue it. It also depends how China will react and how successful China's economy can be and how it can transform into a viable alternative model.

There are uncertainties on both sides and the long term outcome is far from deterministic.

Any current predictions are likely to be premature, no matter how they might appear to be reasonable or ideal at present.