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2010-09-13

United States and China: positive will relations endure!

Comments on Robert Sutter “United States and China: Will positive relations endure?” 13/09/2010, http://www.eastasiaforum.org/2010/09/13/united-states-and-china-will-positive-relations-endure/
It is probably fair to say that few countries at the moment want to challenge the US militarily because no country would win a conflict with it, now.

However, that does not mean that no country will defend its legitimate interests at all when those interests may cause differences to the US.

On the other hand, it is also probably fair to say that the US may also not want to go to war with too many countries directly especially with large countries, because that would be also potentially very costly too and there is no guarantee that it will win a war clearly at a reasonable cost.

If anyone wants to gamble, the Iraq war and Afghanistan wars may serve as a useful reminder, even though they were relatively tiny in the first place.

There has been and is continuing and will continue a power shift between the US on the one hand and large developing countries on the other. That power shift means the relative power of the US is in the decline.

No country, no matter how strong it is now, can completely ignore the interests of other large countries.

So international relations and diplomacy are conducted in such a delicate environment with extreme subtlety and carefulness.

As a result, what is likely the outcome for the relations between United States and China?

Of course, positive relations will endure! Why should any people doubt it now?

PS: the other 2 posts today on the EastAsiaForum may be interesting references:

Hugh White "The end of American supremacy", http://www.eastasiaforum.org/2010/09/12/the-end-of-american-supremacy/
Peter Drysdale "China and the challenge to American power? – Weekly editorial", http://www.eastasiaforum.org/2010/09/13/china-and-the-challenge-to-american-power-weekly-editorial/

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